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Gold Stabilizes After Dip as Trade Tensions Cool and Market Confidence Returns

Tuesday, May 20th 2025

After a recent pullback, gold prices are holding steady near $3,316 per ounce, pausing their record-breaking momentum as investor demand for safe-haven assets begins to ease. The decline follows signs of thawing in global trade tensions, particularly in the auto sector.

Trump’s Moves Soften Tariff Impact

On Tuesday, gold slipped by 0.8%, driven by a shift in investor sentiment after President Donald Trump announced executive actions designed to reduce the weight of import duties on foreign vehicles and parts used in U.S. manufacturing. These measures, aimed at streamlining levies and boosting domestic production, reassured markets that a more measured approach to tariffs may be on the horizon.

Mixed U.S. Economic Signals Ignored by Markets

Despite underwhelming U.S. economic indicators—including a five-year low in consumer confidence and a significant drop in job openings—markets largely shrugged off the data. Risk appetite improved, pushing investors toward equities and away from traditionally safer assets like gold.

Gold’s Surge Fueled by Trade Fears and Global Buying

Just last week, gold soared past $3,500 an ounce, buoyed by heightened geopolitical anxiety, escalating trade disputes, and strong institutional demand. Central banks continued to increase their gold reserves, and gold-backed ETFs saw a surge in inflows, underscoring the metal’s role as a reliable hedge against uncertainty.

Demand from China—both speculative and institutional—has been a key driver of this year’s rally, which has pushed gold up more than 25% year-to-date.

Global Trade Developments in Focus

Trump, speaking at an event near Detroit marking his 100th day in office, suggested that negotiations with multiple nations—including China, France, and India—were progressing. However, Chinese officials have disputed any claims of active trade talks with Washington, casting some doubt on the optimistic tone.

Meanwhile, Trump continued his public criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, and dismissed recent inflation data as “fake news,” adding political drama to an already uncertain economic backdrop.

Outlook for Gold: Watching the Headlines

As of early Wednesday in Singapore, spot gold edged down 0.1%, continuing to hover around $3,315.87 per ounce. While recent developments have temporarily dampened gold’s momentum, the broader market remains sensitive to geopolitical shifts and economic indicators.

If trade optimism continues and inflation expectations stay muted, gold could face pressure. However, any flare-ups in global tensions or renewed concerns about economic stability may quickly reignite safe-haven demand.


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